Friday, 31 July 2015

Party Vote Demographics: Appendix II - Other pointless(ly fun) correlations

As part of my investigations into electorate demographics and party voting behaviour, I came across some interesting (yet largely irrelevant) variables in the census data and checked for correlations there:

In electorates where more households…
… owned three or more motor vehicles, slightly more people voted for ALCP (r=+0.107)
… owned two motor vehicles, marginally more people voted for the Conservatives (r=+0.017), fewer people voted for Labour (r=-0.316), and slightly fewer people voted for National (r=-0.128)
… owned one motor vehicle, slightly more people voted for the Greens (r=+0.206)
… owned no motor vehicle, marginally more people voted for the Greens (r=+0.061)

In electorates where more people…
… were regular smokers, fewer people voted ACT (r=-0.462)
… were ex-smokers, more people voted for NZ First (r=+0.574), the Maori Party (r=+0.317), DSC (r=+0.310) and Conservative (r=+0.161), and fewer people voted Labour (r=-0.418)
… had never smoked regularly before, more people voted ACT (r=+0.556), Greens (r=+0.354), and the Civilian Party (r=+0.309), slightly more voted for United Future (r=+0.197) and National (r=+0.109), and fewer people voted for the Maori Party (r=-0.195), ALCP (r=-0.406), and NZ First (r=-0.438)

In electorates where more people voted for…
… ACT, more people spoke Hindi (r=+0.331), Northern Chinese (r=+0.920), Yue (r=+0.858), Sinitic not further defined (r=+0.893), Tagalog (r=+0.561), Afrikaans (r=+0.492), and Korean (r=+0.637)
… ALCP, more people spoke English (r=+0.670), and fewer people spoke Samoan (r=-0.344), Hindi (r=-0.526), Northern Chinese (r=-0.540), French (r=-0.283), Yue (r=-0.528), Sinitic not further defined (r=-0.570), German (r=-0.262), Tongan (r=-0.363), Tagalog (r=-0.414), Afrikaans (r=-0.338), Spanish (r=-0.315), and Korean (r=-0.435)
… the Conservatives, more people spoke Afrikaans (r=+0.446) (here’s looking at you Upper Harbour and East Coast Bays), and fewer people spoke None (e.g. too young to talk) (r=-0.604)
… the Greens, more people spoke French (r=+0.851), German (r=+0.827), and Spanish (r=+0.729)
… InternetMANA, more people spoke Maori (r=+0.688)
… Labour, more people spoke Samoan (r=+0.776), Hindi (r=+0.625), and Tongan (r=+0.660)
… the Maori Party, more people spoke Maori (r=+0.795)
… National, more people spoke German (r=+0.349), Afrikaans (r=+0.396), and Korean (r=+0.223)
… NZ First, fewer people spoke Northern Chinese (r=-0.512), Yue (r=-0.477), and Sinitic not further defined (r=-0.526)
… the Civilian Party, more people spoke French (r=+0.467), German (r=+0.461), and Spanish (r=+0.394)
… United Future, more people spoke French (r=+0.411), German (r=+0.536), Tagalog (r=+0.327), and Spanish (r=+0.266)

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